Do most Jewish children now live in Israel?

This article contains these intriguing sentences:

In 2000, 48.35% of Jewish children 14 and under lived in Israel. By 2020, that number is expected to reach 59.20%.

That suggests that by now, 2011, the percentage of Jewish children living in Israel has passed the 50% mark. I would like to be able to state this fact, if it is a true fact, with confidence. Anyone have any handy sources that support or contradict this conclusion?